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Large loads of cattle make 520p/kg as carcass weights drop

Dec 15, 2023Dec 15, 2023

Falling carcass weights have limited spring beef supply into abattoirs, maintaining pressure on procurement teams and meaning no let-up in the cattle bidding wars.

A 6.4kg drop in carcass weights on the year has nullified a small lift in cattle numbers, keeping overall beef supply very tight, according to Defra figures for the first four months of the year (see "Cattle throughputs and carcass weights for the first four months of the year").

Levy boards forecast a 1.2% increase in domestic prime cattle volumes after British Cattle Movement Service data show an increase in 12- to 30-month-old cattle at the end of 2022.

Much of this was expected to be marketed in the first half of 2022.

As a result, finishers have seen base prices firm around the 500p/kg deadweight mark, with Farmers Weekly hearing of bids from 493-505p/kg deadweight, and larger loads at 510-520p/kg deadweight or more this week.

This is despite a cold and slow spring and several short weeks of bank holiday activities, which finishers say would be typically listed as excuses to pull prices.

Carcass weights have lifted slightly on average since November 2022, when feed costs and forage scarcity combined to leave average weights at 340.3kg.

However, the average carcass this year has weighed 343.8kg, 3.78kg less than the five-year average.

This equates to about 450 fewer beef carcasses in a typical slaughter week of 40,000 head.

Finishers say lighter carcass weights could be due to a mix of factors, including:

Category

2020

2021

2022

2023

Prime cattle

691,710

677,396

661,341

677,464

Prime carcass weight (kg)

348.4

349

350.2

343.8

Total estimated supply (t)

240,991

236,411

231,601

232,912

Cows/bulls (kg)

214,992

200,854

197,400

205,180

Cow carcass weight (kg)

310.9

314.7

311.7

308.4

Total estimated supply (t)

66,841

63,208

61,529

63,277

Source: Defra

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