Large loads of cattle make 520p/kg as carcass weights drop
Falling carcass weights have limited spring beef supply into abattoirs, maintaining pressure on procurement teams and meaning no let-up in the cattle bidding wars.
A 6.4kg drop in carcass weights on the year has nullified a small lift in cattle numbers, keeping overall beef supply very tight, according to Defra figures for the first four months of the year (see "Cattle throughputs and carcass weights for the first four months of the year").
Levy boards forecast a 1.2% increase in domestic prime cattle volumes after British Cattle Movement Service data show an increase in 12- to 30-month-old cattle at the end of 2022.
Much of this was expected to be marketed in the first half of 2022.
As a result, finishers have seen base prices firm around the 500p/kg deadweight mark, with Farmers Weekly hearing of bids from 493-505p/kg deadweight, and larger loads at 510-520p/kg deadweight or more this week.
This is despite a cold and slow spring and several short weeks of bank holiday activities, which finishers say would be typically listed as excuses to pull prices.
Carcass weights have lifted slightly on average since November 2022, when feed costs and forage scarcity combined to leave average weights at 340.3kg.
However, the average carcass this year has weighed 343.8kg, 3.78kg less than the five-year average.
This equates to about 450 fewer beef carcasses in a typical slaughter week of 40,000 head.
Finishers say lighter carcass weights could be due to a mix of factors, including:
Category
2020
2021
2022
2023
Prime cattle
691,710
677,396
661,341
677,464
Prime carcass weight (kg)
348.4
349
350.2
343.8
Total estimated supply (t)
240,991
236,411
231,601
232,912
Cows/bulls (kg)
214,992
200,854
197,400
205,180
Cow carcass weight (kg)
310.9
314.7
311.7
308.4
Total estimated supply (t)
66,841
63,208
61,529
63,277
Source: Defra
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